Polymarket Trader

afewcc

0xeca3c99dd2c45f3b6a23de1cc1986862f585a161

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $614.58
Realized PnL: -$1.03K
Win rate: 52.6%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $614.58
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $11.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.82

Yes position

Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $131.6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.93

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $90

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.09

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.8

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.47

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $12.08

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$5.88

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$54.96

No position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$254.49

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$468.76

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$741.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 82.8% 724.31 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 20% 3,000 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 17% 3,000 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 19% 1,307.01 shares
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score

No 30% 333.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 82% 863.02 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

No 0.2% 1,237.36 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Yes 4.6% 1,848.99 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

No 6% 141.41 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?

No 1.2% 8.58 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.5% 200,000 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.5% 21,866 shares