Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $57.12
- Potential payout
- $66.42
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Polymarket Trader
Boswel
@eHCKaSbgFgS9NhP
0xeca5e702b7b21eea04c2c07016845819616ec94f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.85
- Realized PnL
- $54.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.2%
- Current value
- $26.04
- Potential payout
- $31.69
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.17
- Potential profit
- $31.17
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $24.7
- Potential payout
- $30.6
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Yes position
Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Raptors
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 66.42 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No 91.5% 31.69 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 91.5% 30.6 shares
- Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?Yes 52% 23.08 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98.8% 31.38 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 63% 24.13 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 77% 31.17 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 90% 15.56 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Yes 97.5% 21.79 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No 89.6% 20.87 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No 84% 21.43 shares
- Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Yes 51% 21.17 shares