Polymarket Trader

Melody626

0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $856.34K
Realized PnL: $986.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $144.91K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $58.89K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

No position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $110.49K
Potential payout: $110.49K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $37.63K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $110K
Potential payout: $110K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $56.7K

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $105.76K
Potential payout: $106.77K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: $33.37K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $81.35K
Potential payout: $88.91K
Potential profit: $7.56K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $20.73K

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.88K
Potential profit: $73.88K
User PnL: -$37.14K

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $65.78K
Potential payout: $65.78K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $20.98K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $64.7K
Potential payout: $64.7K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $14.8K

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.57K
Potential profit: $63.57K
User PnL: -$29.36K

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $284.5
Potential payout: $63.22K
Potential profit: $62.94K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.17K

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.98K
Potential profit: $61.98K
User PnL: -$24.9K

No position

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.94K
Potential profit: $57.94K
User PnL: -$41.83K

No position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.63K
Potential profit: $56.63K
User PnL: -$32.84K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.46K
Potential profit: $49.46K
User PnL: -$3.11K

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $45.12K
Potential profit: $43K
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $183.31

No position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.87K
Potential profit: $38.87K
User PnL: -$11.32K

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.35K
Potential profit: $37.35K
User PnL: -$10.66K

Yes position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.19K
Potential profit: $37.19K
User PnL: -$21.2K

Yes position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $36.77
Potential payout: $36.77K
Potential profit: $36.73K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$14.46K

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09K
Potential profit: $35.09K
User PnL: -$18.75K

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.6K
Potential profit: $32.6K
User PnL: -$8.88K

No position

Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $32.45K
Potential payout: $32.45K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10.19K

No position

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.58K
Potential profit: $30.58K
User PnL: -$9.73K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.61K

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.02K

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.11K

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.66K

No position

Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.28K

No position

GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.26K

No position

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.16K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.71K

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.23K

No position

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.16K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.67K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.07K

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.37K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.87K

Yes position

Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.89K

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.39K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.72K

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.58K

Yes position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.47K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.36K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.54K

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.51K

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.31K

No position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.15K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 64.4% 1,113.72 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 40% 692.36 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

No 62% 51.11 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 62% 950.24 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 58.9% 7,639.1 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?

No 87.9% 255.09 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?

Yes 88% 148.9 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?

Yes 86.9% 108 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

No 73.7% 305.5 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Yes 39% 3,300 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 58% 1,096.44 shares