Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $351
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $249
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$39
Polymarket Trader
theTrueth
0xecb980e901d9447fd06dbcbc11206e501d7f0c25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $351
- Realized PnL
- $395.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Warriors position
Nuggets vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.25
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Raptors
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
76ers position
76ers vs. Timberwolves
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.1
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.31
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.97
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.58
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Mboko position
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Victoria Mboko
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 51% 11 shares
- Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes 77% 20.54 shares
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes 73% 10.82 shares
- Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 5% 95.45 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 16% 600 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?Yes 25.2% 38.72 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 28% 1,494.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 23.5% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 29% 1,524.62 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 2,600 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 0.4% 6,000 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 19% 2,068.88 shares