0x2048

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $167.84
Potential payout: $181.35
Potential profit: $13.51
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $158.8
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $118.98
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $1.02
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $118.26
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $119.22
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $107.63
Potential payout: $108.44
Potential profit: $0.81
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 18?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $79.48
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $79.48
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $79.52
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $79.28
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.72
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $74
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $6
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $74.6
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $73.98
Potential payout: $74.5
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.52
Potential profit: $68.52
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $67.22
Potential payout: $67.46
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$2.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $63.28
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $64.71
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.29
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $64.45
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $64.03
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $64.25
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET