No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $14.35K
- Potential payout
- $16.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.53K
Polymarket Trader
BigMike11
0xecdbd79566a25693b9971c48d7de84bc05f7da79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.35K
- Realized PnL
- $1.14M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.74K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.3K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.66K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.13K
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.5K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.91K
Yes position
2024 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.2K
Yes position
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.18K
Yes position
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28K
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.48K
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.94K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.88K
Yes position
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.27K
No position
Is $DJT real?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63K
No position
Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?
Ends Jun 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.12K
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.15K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.69K
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.55K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.32K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21K
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.78K
No position
Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Jul 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.65K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.2% 556 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 66% 1,400 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 66% 15,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 6.15 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 10,870 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 94.4% 32 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 94.5% 1,000 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 7,614.35 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 485.64 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No 93.8% 405 shares
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No 99.8% 1,385 shares
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No 99.4% 2,477.85 shares