Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $340.43
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $21.29
Polymarket Trader
sippingdrank
0xece740d3b31bd6bcae4e4236fac92ebe1dbb3673
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.17K
- Realized PnL
- $4.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $154.7
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $80.72
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $135.11
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $17.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $87.57
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $25.37
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$82.35
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $451.92
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $348.08
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$52.66
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $645.4
- Potential payout
- $652.25
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $53.75
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $649.77
- Potential profit
- $638.08
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$9.82
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $501.02
- Potential payout
- $600.03
- Potential profit
- $99
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $499.19
- Potential payout
- $518.1
- Potential profit
- $18.91
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $41.27
Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $515.43
- Potential profit
- $514.66
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $212.5
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $287.49
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$25.42
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $33.2
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $366.78
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $305.99
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $19.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $68.76
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $153.23
- Potential payout
- $303.43
- Potential profit
- $150.2
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $19.72
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $291.29
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $48.3
No position
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $241.89
- Potential payout
- $287.96
- Potential profit
- $46.07
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
No position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $261.25
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $13.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $35.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $230
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $20
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $171
- Potential payout
- $247.87
- Potential profit
- $76.86
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $28.63
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $223.72
- Potential payout
- $236.74
- Potential profit
- $13.02
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $40.58
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $195.3
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $170.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $29.7
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.74
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.18
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.82
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.26
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.73
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.46
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.41
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.03
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.95
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.02
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.88
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.08
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.65
No position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.78
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161
No position
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.5
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.38
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $141.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $132.01
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.35
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.5
No position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.69
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.86
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 95.1% 117.7 shares
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5Over 82% 50.27 shares
- Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia 87% 99.38 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 4% 21.33 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.4% 399.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No 83.5% 301.99 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 200.66 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 601.98 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.8% 900.23 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.8% 900.22 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 1,203.97 shares