Polymarket Trader

0xd3878591606e7e7a56a2a2f3b1cc8ef3760e6540

0xece7f77e6a8f924f1d9dfe7943b75fb1c87660bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.3K
Realized PnL: -$250.54
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$366

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $315.56
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $628.88

Yes position

Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492.43
Potential profit: $492.43
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.85
Potential profit: $216.85
User PnL: -$101.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $891.1

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.98

Yes position

Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $298.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.41

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.73

Yes position

Will Trump drop out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.5

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$110

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$116.5

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$239.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$336.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$552.43

Yes position

Spotify working again by midnight?

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$793.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 34% 588.24 shares
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Yes 22.5% 999.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 99% 101.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 97% 103.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 96% 104.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 93.2% 107.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 83.5% 119.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 77.7% 32.19 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 46% 1,030 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Up 44% 22.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Down 48.5% 203.17 shares