No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.1%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- $181.36
Polymarket Trader
ifyouknow
0xecea10adcc6c507afb814bfd738e08143148889a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.09K
- Realized PnL
- $17.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $166.5
- Potential payout
- $370
- Potential profit
- $203.5
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$124.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $292.43
- Potential payout
- $292.87
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $89.99
- Potential profit
- $88.33
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $83.43
- Potential profit
- $78.76
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$4.51
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $79.12
- Potential payout
- $81.53
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.04
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $73.88
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $65.51
- Potential payout
- $65.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $52.96
- Potential payout
- $52.96
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $37.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $29.46
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $24.94
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Yoon reinstated as President before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8K
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.05
Yes position
Ethereum all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.83
No position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 30-60 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.79
No position
Will Cho Gil-hyeong win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.44
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.6
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.97
Yes position
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.51
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.35
Yes position
Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.53
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Yoon arrested by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.17
Yes position
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.31
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.92
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.79
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.71
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
Bivol position
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivol
Ends Feb 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
Prochazka position
Prochazka vs. Hill
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?No 71% 15.71 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 98.6% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 11% 83.43 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 65.51 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.2% 292.87 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 99.5% 52.96 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 43.3% 512.99 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 29.9% 7.49 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 29.8% 306.37 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 33.1% 130 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 41.3% 5.04 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 50.8% 400 shares