No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $585.9
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Polymarket Trader
AlonBalon
0xececf855fae0e7fe4d6283a55334f644301ad331
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $304.2
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $94.23
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $290.38
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $95.31
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $60.94
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$4.69
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $100.56
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $11.8
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?No 3.4% 600 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 89% 112.36 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 64% 156.25 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 26% 384.62 shares