Polymarket Trader

tommasos

0xecf3022957d3411ca6ec1de7926e07080b0d04ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.23
Realized PnL: $105.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $742.36
Potential profit: $742.36
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $13.61
Potential payout: $132.74
Potential profit: $119.14
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $12.63
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $101.66
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$7.37

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.74
Potential profit: $91.74
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.36
Potential profit: $62.36
User PnL: -$22.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 France?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.72
Potential profit: $31.72
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.79
Potential profit: $21.79
User PnL: -$4.96

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.21
Potential profit: $21.21
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.52
Potential profit: $19.52
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.24
Potential profit: $12.24
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.99
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.12

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.14

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $4.58

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Jannik Sinner position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Yes 99% 29.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 28?

Yes 26% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 28?

Yes 3.1% 3.64 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 416.66 shares
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 France?

Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 26?

Yes 49% 6.12 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 104.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 27?

Yes 12.6% 31.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 26?

Yes 49% 6.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

No 99.9% 19.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 23?

No 99.9% 23.3 shares