No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$99.14
Polymarket Trader
0xECF5456ABC1b6C324a55a9c45d75D63951f6B7af-1780735171940
0xecf5456abc1b6c324a55a9c45d75d63951f6b7af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.5K
- Realized PnL
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $136.05
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $27.21
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $45.88
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$74.87
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $369.02
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $926.23
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $265.4
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $117.08
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $917.87
- Potential profit
- $917.41
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$100.51
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $86.03
- Potential payout
- $873.4
- Potential profit
- $787.37
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$21.86
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $799.97
- Potential profit
- $799.97
- User PnL
- -$110.9
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $30.16
- Potential payout
- $793.77
- Potential profit
- $763.61
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$80.24
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $33.93
- Potential payout
- $754.02
- Potential profit
- $720.09
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$23.6
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $733.85
- Potential profit
- $733.85
- User PnL
- -$95.4
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $82.71
- Potential payout
- $719.21
- Potential profit
- $636.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$17.98
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $177.5
- Potential payout
- $669.8
- Potential profit
- $492.3
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $77.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $668
- Potential profit
- $668
- User PnL
- -$100.2
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $120.62
- Potential payout
- $660.93
- Potential profit
- $540.31
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- $20.82
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $25.44
- Potential payout
- $660.72
- Potential profit
- $635.28
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$76.41
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $624.76
- Potential profit
- $624.76
- User PnL
- -$106.21
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $69.69
- Potential payout
- $606.01
- Potential profit
- $536.32
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$33.33
No position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $58.48
- Potential payout
- $593.74
- Potential profit
- $535.26
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$139.38
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $16.16
- Potential payout
- $557.17
- Potential profit
- $541.01
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$84.13
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $524.43
- Potential profit
- $524.43
- User PnL
- -$99.64
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $99.8
- Potential payout
- $511.8
- Potential profit
- $412
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $31.96
- Potential payout
- $507.3
- Potential profit
- $475.34
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$69.5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $448.89
- Potential profit
- $448.89
- User PnL
- -$80.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.52
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.51
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.78
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.69
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$15.94
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.7
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$76.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 99.7% 116.27 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 99.7% 116.25 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 99.7% 116.25 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 99.7% 116.25 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 99.7% 116.25 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 99.7% 116.25 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 128.21 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 128.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 128.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.5% 128.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.5% 128.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.6% 128.2 shares