Polymarket Trader

ostrygracz

0xecf60c9c9b55fd8ec4397878a9cc9323edb88145

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $2.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$922.66

Yes position

Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $674.41
Potential profit: $674.41
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$50

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $561.96
Potential profit: $561.96
User PnL: -$350

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$25

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.6
Potential profit: $316.6
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$215.99

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$50

No position

Ethereum Fusaka upgrade implemented in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.25
Potential profit: $240.25
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.77
Potential profit: $220.77
User PnL: -$22.94

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.99
Potential profit: $216.99
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.07
Potential profit: $216.07
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 22-28?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.52
Potential profit: $201.52
User PnL: -$88.67

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$128.19

No position

Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.1
Potential profit: $194.1
User PnL: -$123.45

No position

Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.36
Potential profit: $186.36
User PnL: -$169.59

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.96
Potential profit: $185.96
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.53
Potential profit: $185.53
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.73

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.23

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.16

No position

Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.91

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.12

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.85

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.77

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.83

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.79

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.61

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $108K August 4–10?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.78

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.78

Yes position

Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.32

Daniil Medvedev position

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72

No position

Heathrow airport fire foul play confirmed before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.56

No position

Will Trump say "Deal" 25+ times during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.46

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.42

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.14

Yes position

FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.92

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.94

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?

No 89% 112.36 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?

No 82.7% 145.02 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

56.9% 173.57 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 79% 479.75 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 44% 188.67 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

No 38% 143.44 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

No 52% 48.08 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

No 69.7% 143.44 shares
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 64.7% 300 shares
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

Daniil Medvedev 26% 300 shares
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 98.9% 163.81 shares
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 91.6% 163.82 shares