Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
CurryBait
0xecff0eb1f4b89e50c748fa7e97632d912522ec19
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.06
- Realized PnL
- $100.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $26.4
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $17.84
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- $12.7
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $7.36
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- $3.31
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Jacksonville position
Stetson vs. Jacksonville
Ends Mar 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Oregon win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 363 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 363 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 72% 203 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 84 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 87 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 89% 209 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 89% 209 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.2% 176 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 92% 40 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 92% 182 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5.8% 331 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 165 shares