Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xED04895E5368b4aB0D8A3aB525E378726b487419-1764171694529
0xed04895e5368b4ab0d8a3ab525e378726b487419
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.48
- Realized PnL
- $53.83
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Fed abolished before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $172.6
- Potential profit
- $166.64
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $69.9
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$8.47
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Temple Owls position
Temple Owls vs. Charlotte 49ers
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.29
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.4
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.61
Miami position
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Reza Banki be the next CEO of X?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?No 1% 300 shares
- Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?Yes 2% 73.15 shares
- Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes 10% 19.38 shares
- Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes 13% 19.38 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes 5% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 384.61 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 12% 25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?No 0.4% 1,250 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares