No position
Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- User PnL
- -$76.66
Polymarket Trader
AyaKurobane
0xed0ccadc6b0920b9014c84fdb6d171490c205e23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.17K
- Realized PnL
- $10.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $230
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $770
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$190
Y
Yes position
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $589.5
- Potential payout
- $775.65
- Potential profit
- $186.16
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $139.62
Y
Yes position
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $190.86
- Potential payout
- $605.9
- Potential profit
- $415.04
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$43.41
No position
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $78.67
- Potential payout
- $476.8
- Potential profit
- $398.13
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$50.06
Y
Yes position
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $22.28
- Potential payout
- $362.32
- Potential profit
- $340.03
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$44.56
No position
Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$51
No position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $20.41
- Potential payout
- $53.7
- Potential profit
- $33.29
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $36.87
- Potential payout
- $50.51
- Potential profit
- $13.64
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $22.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.97
Yes position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.11
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.08
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.5
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $218
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.87
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.78
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.11
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146
No position
Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.33
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $135.99
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.17
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.3
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.37
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.28
Yes position
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.99
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 14% 42 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 13.9% 20 shares
- Tread FDV above $80M one day after launchYes 33% 378.67 shares
- Tread FDV above $80M one day after launchYes 32% 74.77 shares
- Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchYes 58% 50 shares
- Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchYes 58% 225.66 shares
- Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 27% 476.8 shares
- Tread FDV above $80M one day after launchYes 56% 152.46 shares
- Tread FDV above $200M one day after launchYes 19% 162.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown 31% 16.13 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No 27% 33.7 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No 25% 20 shares