Polymarket Trader

churna

0xed116e6d4190e5c09f950a893074b5a5aef710be

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.88K
Realized PnL: $5.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.26K
Potential payout: $4.71K
Potential profit: $447.55
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $782.33

No position

Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $2.8K
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $112.26
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $43.59

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$14.25

No position

Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$224

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $769.49
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $58.02

Yes position

Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$182

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $554.27
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$78.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $144.26
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $99.87

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $332.28
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $7.97

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $615.07
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $867.02
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$159.04

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $899.99
User PnL: -$386.99

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $637.81
Potential profit: $637.81
User PnL: -$536.2

Down position

HYPE Up or Down on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.97
Potential profit: $599.97
User PnL: -$195.19

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $518.38
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $31.63
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$1.93

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $399.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $0.6
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $347.52
Potential profit: $347.52
User PnL: -$142.56

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $273.8
Potential payout: $296
Potential profit: $22.2
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.76
Potential profit: $265.76
User PnL: -$199.91

Yes position

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $205.09
Potential profit: $202.73
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$9.95

No position

Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $197.58
Potential payout: $201
Potential profit: $3.42
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$1.81

No position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$65.5

No position

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Ends Aug 25, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $134.24
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.55
Potential profit: $137.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.25
Potential profit: $129.25
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $883.93

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $484.41

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.36

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.45

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.54

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $211.62

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.78

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $177.65

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $177.34

Yes position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.59

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.71

No position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.18

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.33

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.44

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.79

No position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.12

No position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $108.12

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.66

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.63

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.8%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $88.07

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.58

No position

Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.18

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Markus Ruck be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

No 99.9% 156 shares
Will Ethan Belchetz be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

No 99.9% 123 shares
Will Marcus Nordmark be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

No 99.9% 28 shares
Will Tommy Bleyl be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

No 99.8% 114 shares
Will Wyatt Cullen be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

No 99.9% 302 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 82% 1,976.25 shares
Will Wyatt Cullen be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

No 99.9% 205.61 shares
Will Ethan Belchetz be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

No 99.8% 97.2 shares
Will Daxon Rudolph be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

No 99.9% 740.8 shares
Will Alberts Smits be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

No 99.8% 505.22 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 82% 2,374.99 shares
Will Adam Novotný be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

No 94% 140 shares