Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.37K
- Potential payout
- $16.34K
- Potential profit
- $13.97K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $115.23
Polymarket Trader
bartdump
@evgeriy091rn
0xed1252e32df701f39b78fbb21a8d9732d23fc018
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.48K
- Realized PnL
- $4.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$191.95
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$20.8
Yes position
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $113.1
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$578.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- User PnL
- -$184.08
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $939.98
- Potential profit
- $939.98
- User PnL
- -$892.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $939.82
- Potential profit
- $939.82
- User PnL
- -$90.99
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $544.68
- Potential profit
- $544.68
- User PnL
- -$42.61
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $533.25
- Potential profit
- $533.25
- User PnL
- -$10.66
No position
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.99
- Potential profit
- $214.99
- User PnL
- -$165.49
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Jingle Bell Heist" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.83
- Potential profit
- $32.83
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.55
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.84
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $456.62
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $230.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.8
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $179.94
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.04
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.81
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.01
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $81.7
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.6
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.68
Maple Leafs position
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.36
No position
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $41
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 16?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.62
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 16% 326.95 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.2% 20,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.4% 15,342.73 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.6% 4,034.32 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.6% 5,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 9% 300 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.4% 3,116 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.7% 4,989.86 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.7% 20,938.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.2% 61.21 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 7,560.18 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 183.48 shares