Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.39
- Potential profit
- $7.39
- User PnL
- -$6.95
Polymarket Trader
sfgthyjb
0xed281ab5d3f540a84b10ad47f9b618cf2d1f85fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.81
- Realized PnL
- $50.13
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.17
- Potential payout
- $7.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.84
- Potential profit
- $6.84
- User PnL
- -$6.57
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $5.39
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Devils position
Devils vs. Stars
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
Tennessee Volunteers position
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
Kavanagh position
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Pistons position
Raptors vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Suns position
Suns vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Sri Lanka position
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 94% 5.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 93% 7.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 96% 6.25 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 6.74 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96% 6.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 93% 5.96 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 90% 7.12 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 92% 7.15 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 96% 7.18 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 89% 7.12 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No 91% 5.87 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes 94% 7.39 shares