No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.64K
- Potential payout
- $6.16K
- Potential profit
- $523.91
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $442.48
Polymarket Trader
zwxokx
@pikaqiuuuua
0xed3aadc9805cab85508320d17d5d572c47e19b17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.64K
- Realized PnL
- $14.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $964
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $884.14
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $857.16
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.35
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.45
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.99
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.55
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.25
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $339.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.98
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.67
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.21
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.93
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.18
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.74
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.45
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No 95% 62 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No 99.5% 184.59 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 99.7% 2,125.53 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 0.1% 50 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 99.8% 500 shares
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No 99.8% 500 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No 99.8% 232.39 shares
- Will China join the Board of Peace?No 99.9% 91.12 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes 99.4% 50 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes 98.4% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 15% 50 shares
- Will PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings?No 99.8% 335.04 shares