Polymarket Trader

0xeD4154Fd0cA59d7376cc7e967e4b1e10F30038af-1767339233647

0xed4154fd0ca59d7376cc7e967e4b1e10f30038af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $552.46
Realized PnL: $4.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $60.79
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $21.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $13.24
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $114
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $6

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $130.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $769.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.87
Potential profit: $483.87
User PnL: -$30

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $180.92
Potential payout: $469.92
Potential profit: $289
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $453.26
Potential profit: $453.26
User PnL: -$246.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.94
Potential profit: $117.94
User PnL: -$8.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $47
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$46.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $572.51

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $440.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $267.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $190.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $168.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.86

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 38% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 70 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 38% 269.92 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 14% 400 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 13% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 111.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1% 110 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 9% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 9% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 9% 600 shares