Polymarket Trader

ItsFridaaayy

0xed457c7e2e3e28cf8129502010fcf8ae5b970d29

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $773.04
Realized PnL: $4.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $378.19
Potential payout: $378.38
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $135.45
Potential payout: $154.8
Potential profit: $19.35
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $23.23

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $150.59
Potential payout: $150.82
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $8.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.93
Potential profit: $133.93
User PnL: -$33.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$1.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $49.85
Potential payout: $50.33
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $9.09

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $47.13
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$6.76

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.45
Potential profit: $35.45
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.4
Potential profit: $33.4
User PnL: -$4.01

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $29.91
Potential payout: $30.09
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.23
Potential profit: $28.23
User PnL: -$15.02

No position

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $23.9
Potential payout: $25.23
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.59

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.4
Potential profit: $24.4
User PnL: -$16.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$14.44

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $20.33
Potential profit: $18.2
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $860.02

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $676.14

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.64

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.86

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.88

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.15

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.21

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.68

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.6

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.4

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.28

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.4

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.69

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.65

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.56

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.6

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.46

FOKUS position

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.06

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.34

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.68

No position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.19

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.26

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.95

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

No 20% 2.22 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

No 19% 3.46 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

No 18% 0.78 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

No 15% 2.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 98% 100 shares
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Yes 87.5% 9.93 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 46% 4.41 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

No 14% 0.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Down 99% 100 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

No 15% 0.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Down 94.1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 99% 100 shares