No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
0xeD4728a4f94F12f6e0764a89155D01a423F49D90-1772916863485
0xed4728a4f94f12f6e0764a89155d01a423f49d90
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $303.28
- Realized PnL
- $1.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$111.94
Yes position
Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $23.65
- Potential payout
- $668.1
- Potential profit
- $644.45
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$46.35
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $667.08
- Potential profit
- $667.08
- User PnL
- -$141.49
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $47.89
- Potential payout
- $456.07
- Potential profit
- $408.18
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $24.14
- Potential payout
- $451.18
- Potential profit
- $427.04
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.86
Yes position
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375.09
- Potential profit
- $375.09
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321.92
- Potential profit
- $321.92
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $27.14
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $258.57
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $7.14
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $251.48
- Potential profit
- $247.46
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$35.98
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $31.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $218.88
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$18.88
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.59
- Potential profit
- $228.59
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $23.64
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $158.18
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $171.12
- Potential profit
- $165.13
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$44.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.21
- Potential profit
- $165.21
- User PnL
- -$63.26
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $97.54
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $66.39
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $15.24
- Potential payout
- $157.1
- Potential profit
- $141.86
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- -$34.76
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $156.39
- Potential profit
- $153.81
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$37.42
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $130.55
- Potential profit
- $130.22
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.32
- Potential profit
- $123.32
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.29
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.61
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.77
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.63
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.41
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $62.68
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.63
No position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.73
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.93
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.6
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.34
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.79
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 61% 163.93 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 68% 294.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown 52.8% 47.37 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 11% 456.07 shares
- Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes 27.5% 114.6 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 91.4% 269.97 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 88% 176.05 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 25.6% 156.39 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 56.8% 176.05 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 15.9% 251.48 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 90% 274.1 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 73% 274.11 shares