0xed5b...8e60

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $177.08
Potential profit: $175.31
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $7.58
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $142.43
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $139.94
Potential profit: $139.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $132.91
Potential profit: $121.01
Multiplier: 11.17x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $123.94
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $122.19
Potential profit: $122.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $111.19
Potential profit: $111.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $93.3
Potential profit: $91.67
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.3%
Current value: $33.79
Potential payout: $79.97
Potential profit: $46.18
Multiplier: 2.37x
User PnL: $23.79

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.9
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $64.29
Potential profit: $64.26
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.76
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $53.33
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$7.78

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.83
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.18
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $32.38
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.6%
Current value: $9.13
Potential payout: $33.14
Potential profit: $24.01
Multiplier: 3.63x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $31.43
Potential profit: $29.94
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $30.95
Potential profit: $29.79
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $5.86
Potential payout: $27.08
Potential profit: $21.22
Multiplier: 4.62x
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.4%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $20.7
Multiplier: 4.68x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.23
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90.27

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.88

5star position

Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.62

GIANTX position

LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.37

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.05

Leavitt position

UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.04

Under position

Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 9.5

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

AaB Esport position

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.69

9z position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

Green position

UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

largadosypelados position

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.57

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.44

Betclic Apogee Esports position

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.3

BNK FEARX position

LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.26

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.02

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.92

BNK FEARX position

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.14

GIANTX position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.65

Kiwoom DRX position

Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

FUT Esports position

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.08

Turma do Pagode position

Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.07

GIANTX position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season