Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $188.89
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$11.11
Polymarket Trader
qwert12345qwert
0xed63a04beddb87180027ee51f9acf73f7e44e1c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $317.93
- Realized PnL
- $928.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$110
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$10.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$10.19
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $728.27
- Potential profit
- $728.27
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $496.72
- Potential profit
- $496.72
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $395.76
- Potential profit
- $393.97
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "El Salvador" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.68
- Potential profit
- $298.68
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton say "White House" during his Epstein testimony?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.27
- Potential profit
- $241.27
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.59
- Potential profit
- $222.59
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.43
- Potential profit
- $210.43
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.89
- Potential profit
- $206.89
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $127.26
- Potential payout
- $150.6
- Potential profit
- $23.34
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.12
- Potential profit
- $149.12
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.94
- Potential profit
- $130.94
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.81
- Potential profit
- $108.81
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.13
- Potential profit
- $104.13
- User PnL
- -$99.96
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.45
- Potential profit
- $103.45
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.81
No position
Will Trump say "G20" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.61
No position
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.03
No position
Will Trump say "Witch hunt" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.32
N
No position
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.16
No position
Will Trump say "Dictator" or "Maduro" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.05
No position
Will Trump say "MIGA" or "Make Iran Great Again" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.38
France position
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.74
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.92
No position
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.34
Yes position
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.13
No position
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $8.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 17.4% 136.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 9% 2,222.22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 46.6% 85.85 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 11% 136.36 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No 0.9% 1,113.33 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No 1.1% 90.91 shares
- France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance 79% 126.58 shares
- Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 55.6% 254.23 shares
- Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 29% 326.94 shares
- Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No 83% 150.6 shares
- Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 30.6% 326.94 shares