No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $199.33
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $198.5
Polymarket Trader
Daviddu0813
0xed7bf0e1f6a8412ebbc36b7b907df73532ef1ba9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.22K
- Realized PnL
- $1.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- User PnL
- $53.89
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.85K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- User PnL
- $40.61
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $59.61
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $96.76
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $63.59
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- User PnL
- $72.44
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- User PnL
- $31.76
No position
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $880.56
- Potential payout
- $920.61
- Potential profit
- $40.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $649.85
- Potential payout
- $687.67
- Potential profit
- $37.82
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $49.85
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $499.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $54.75
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $349.22
- Potential payout
- $349.39
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $28.63
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $295.17
- Potential payout
- $322.59
- Potential profit
- $27.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9.17
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $287.7
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $238.48
- Potential payout
- $287.32
- Potential profit
- $48.85
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $14.33
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $35.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $173
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $175
- User PnL
- -$82.25
No position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $158.11
- Potential payout
- $159.87
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $29.16
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $122.22
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $4.37
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $22.22
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $123.47
- Potential payout
- $123.53
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $116.99
- Potential payout
- $122.44
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $16.99
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $106.35
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $98.28
- Potential payout
- $112.32
- Potential profit
- $14.04
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.17
No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $64.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $35.5
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.17
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.67
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.55
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.64
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.21
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.82
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.56
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97.5% 697.22 shares
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 89.8% 222.59 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 78.5% 254.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 31.58 shares
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No 99.4% 31.5 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 1,029.7 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No 96% 520.61 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.9% 515.95 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 91.7% 545.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 947.37 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 105.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown 1% 100 shares