Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.74K
- Potential profit
- $9.74K
- User PnL
- -$311.98
Polymarket Trader
paula0xa
0xed8650e311b2b4754a6a0feb9147ff3dcfc76ee1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.03K
- Realized PnL
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $315.27
- Potential payout
- $5.78K
- Potential profit
- $5.47K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$384.72
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.33K
- User PnL
- -$137
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $5.28K
- Potential profit
- $5.28K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$382.35
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $4.52K
- Potential profit
- $4.52K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$357.74
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $220.82
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.72K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$329.17
No position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $592.31
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $946.15
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$7.69
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$416
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $249.74
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $860.22
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $149.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$519.9
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $196.04
- Potential payout
- $911.81
- Potential profit
- $715.77
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $888.89
- Potential profit
- $887.56
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$78.67
Yes position
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $60.02
- Potential payout
- $857.42
- Potential profit
- $797.4
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$44.98
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $137.5
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $695.83
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$112.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $111.54
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $657.69
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $11.54
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $14.35
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $685.65
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$10.15
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $690.01
- Potential profit
- $690.01
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $27.22
- Potential payout
- $534.72
- Potential profit
- $507.5
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$17.78
No position
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530.27
- Potential profit
- $530.27
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $74.71
- Potential payout
- $452.8
- Potential profit
- $378.09
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$40.29
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $24.93
- Potential payout
- $383.46
- Potential profit
- $358.54
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$25.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.33
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $181.12
Yes position
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.77
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.38
Yes position
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.76
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.83
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $7.31
Perez position
UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$152.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 21.9% 911.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13% 769.23 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 14% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 32% 700 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 32% 600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 61% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 44% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 52% 550.95 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 6.3% 200 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 3.5% 0.31 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?No 14.7% 33.94 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?No 22.5% 222.66 shares