Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $22.43K
- Potential profit
- $19.41K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.89K
Polymarket Trader
0xed871C6EE4df2Fea9a298e51d0f7D04f4a2A788F-1775135104809
0xed871c6ee4df2fea9a298e51d0f7d04f4a2a788f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.03K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.58K
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.34K
- Potential profit
- $17.34K
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $631.86
- Potential profit
- $631.86
- User PnL
- -$16.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.68
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.78
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.78
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.24
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.24
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$110.26
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$145.85
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$419.53
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.36K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 6% 5,892 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 9% 9,993 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 11% 1,450 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 41% 389 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 39% 389 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 1,500 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 3.3% 416.86 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 2% 50 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 1.4% 165 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 45% 1,508.68 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 41% 1,508.68 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 35% 1,767.31 shares