No position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$19.4
Polymarket Trader
Frederickg4
0xed8ca0bc1ff97b367e90d9381fa2c5561e309769
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.51
- Realized PnL
- $12.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $19.51
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$19.77
No position
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$18.43
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$18.62
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C or higher on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.1
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.46
Yes position
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.64
- Potential profit
- $7.64
- User PnL
- -$7.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 5?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Nvidia" be in the headlines this week?No 99% 19 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No 97.9% 20 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 15 shares
- Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Yes 99.9% 17 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.6% 15 shares
- Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Yes 97% 17 shares
- Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?Yes 99% 15 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No 99.2% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No 97.5% 20 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 99% 17.02 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 96.9% 17.03 shares