No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $150.54
- Potential payout
- $168.2
- Potential profit
- $17.66
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $40.94
Polymarket Trader
0xedBe108285993c7B1aB04C03139e82a7589b84D1-1767688127922
0xedbe108285993c7b1ab04c03139e82a7589b84d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $151.62
- Realized PnL
- $577.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.85
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.72
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.11
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.6
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.24
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.97
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.75
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $11.94
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.31
No position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 61% 8.2 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.9% 158.49 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No 99.7% 498.78 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 0.1% 250 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 0.3% 136.36 shares
- Iran strike on US military by January 31?Yes 0.4% 294.28 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?Yes 3.3% 308.95 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes 0.3% 2,496.52 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No 88% 1,000 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 77% 119.4 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No 99.8% 160.91 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 22% 136.36 shares