Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.3K
- Potential profit
- $112.3K
- User PnL
- -$2.85K
Polymarket Trader
tupac
@tupac_poly
0xedc0f2cd1743914c4533368e15489c1a7a3d99f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $130.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.37K
- Potential profit
- $46.37K
- User PnL
- -$183.43
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.24K
- Potential profit
- $32.24K
- User PnL
- -$4.98K
Yes position
Will Trump attend UFC 319?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.99K
- Potential profit
- $18.99K
- User PnL
- -$2.08K
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.99K
- Potential profit
- $15.99K
- User PnL
- -$68.15
Yes position
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by Wednesday?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.69K
- Potential profit
- $15.69K
- User PnL
- -$21.36
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.4K
- Potential profit
- $13.4K
- User PnL
- -$786.21
Yes position
Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.26K
- Potential profit
- $12.26K
- User PnL
- -$12.26
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $11.6K
- User PnL
- -$709.81
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$284.77
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.98K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- User PnL
- -$772.41
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.46K
- Potential profit
- $8.46K
- User PnL
- -$159.99
Yes position
Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.16K
- Potential profit
- $8.16K
- User PnL
- -$280.71
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.6K
- User PnL
- -$604.57
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
Yes position
Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.86K
- Potential profit
- $6.86K
- User PnL
- -$95.24
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.76K
- Potential profit
- $6.76K
- User PnL
- -$127
Yes position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- User PnL
- -$35.99
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$165.36
Yes position
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $5.3K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.08K
- Potential profit
- $5.08K
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$63.18
Yes position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.38K
No position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42K
Yes position
Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53K
Yes position
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.68K
No position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64K
Yes position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will Elon Musk say "xAI" 2 or more times during the August 6 AMA?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No 76.3% 178.13 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes 10% 410 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No 56.1% 178.14 shares
- Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?Yes 3.7% 232.05 shares
- Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Yes 24.9% 1,000 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes 52.8% 814.11 shares
- Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes 12.5% 535.5 shares
- Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?No 83.4% 2,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 30% 3,333.33 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 14% 5,714.29 shares
- Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?No 20% 5 shares
- Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?No 64.8% 3.09 shares