Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $188
- Potential payout
- $20.89K
- Potential profit
- $20.7K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$929.17
Polymarket Trader
Leviathan1832
0xedc2834124c0465fb2ccbf239896ef65f975ad9f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $188
- Realized PnL
- $62.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.44K
- Potential profit
- $10.44K
- User PnL
- -$422.29
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.29
- Potential profit
- $71.29
- User PnL
- -$16.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.84K
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936.17
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $868.53
Yes position
Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.32
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749.47
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.34
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 11.8% 747.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 11.5% 747.83 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.6% 1,388.89 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.9% 127 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.2% 730.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 2.1% 357.14 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.7% 795.54 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.5% 354.39 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.9% 692.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 7% 357.14 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.8% 21.46 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.8% 5,123.84 shares