Polymarket Trader

smec

0xedcfc21167d3522f23cd68403de577b6ff410321

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $182.57
Realized PnL: $1.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.93K
Potential profit: $30.93K
User PnL: -$30.93

No position

Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.61K
User PnL: -$17.55

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$15.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $30.42
Potential payout: $770
Potential profit: $739.59
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.43
Potential profit: $414.43
User PnL: -$82.44

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $120.7
Potential payout: $339.99
Potential profit: $219.3
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $22.1

Yes position

Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-03?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$100

No position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.18
Potential profit: $318.18
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO on June 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.96
Potential profit: $213.96
User PnL: -$17.12

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $13.87
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $174.81
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$6.13

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO on June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.95
Potential profit: $171.95
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $17.59
Potential payout: $167.5
Potential profit: $149.91
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$7.41

Yes position

Will another company be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.67
Potential profit: $126.67
User PnL: -$19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.84

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.82

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.01

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.7

Over position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.45

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.75

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.45

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.04

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.93

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Pacers

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.72

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.65

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Nets

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.44

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.28

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.36

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.65

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.05

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1)

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.05

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $5.7

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.07

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Yes 63% 9.77 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Yes 64% 9.77 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 188.68 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 27% 111.11 shares
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 1% 200 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

No 2% 40.26 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 2.5% 112.19 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

No 10% 8.31 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

No 10% 91.69 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

No 14.7% 100 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

No 29.2% 50 shares