Polymarket Trader

0xoops

@Vlad_Web3

0xede3eb7a4f05b8d8ad1dbb4d2dd6a2a3f30ae3f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $755.53
Realized PnL: $1.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $8.6
Potential payout: $185.05
Potential profit: $176.44
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$5.46

Yes position

Will Arcium launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Ends Oct 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $149.7
Potential payout: $150.15
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$123

No position

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $62.24
Potential payout: $149.98
Potential profit: $87.74
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $4.75

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $132.14
Potential payout: $149.32
Potential profit: $17.17
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $19.06

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $103.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $14.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.45
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $53.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $46.5
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$23.5

Yes position

Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $34.19
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $25.81
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$5.41

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $21.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $18.4
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $14.57
Potential payout: $33.89
Potential profit: $19.32
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $21.69
Potential profit: $18.43
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$9.33

Yes position

Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $7.87
Potential payout: $19.67
Potential profit: $11.8
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 73.2%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $1.87
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 87.7%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.68

Yes position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $138.07

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.66

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.31

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.22

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.05

No position

Over $15M committed to the VOOI public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.06

No position

Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.6

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.52

No position

Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.64

No position

Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.69

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

No position

Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.5

No position

Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.5

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.45

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.06

No position

Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.9

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

No position

Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.35

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Arcium launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Yes 99.9% 150.15 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?

No 50% 35.51 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?

No 54% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?

No 59% 13.93 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 14% 75.01 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.3% 128.57 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 90% 11.11 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 94% 212.77 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99% 101.01 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 96% 104.17 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95% 105.26 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 24% 25 shares