Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.46
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.54
Polymarket Trader
MJC2
0xedea286fcffcb436d5a2cfba1a3c190ffac87580
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.46
- Realized PnL
- $10.98
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.54
- Potential profit
- $12.54
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.12
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.73x
- User PnL
- -$3.81
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.99
No position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.82
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 46% 12.54 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 28% 35.71 shares
- Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes 24% 17.45 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes 31% 18.86 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes 9% 21.73 shares
- Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes 0.4% 61.66 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 6% 10.2 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 8% 27.02 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes 53% 18.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Yes 10% 19.23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Yes 56% 17.86 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Yes 26% 19.23 shares