Polymarket Trader

cornishon2

0xedeed228519d9498fd9d965a4610cb4a70cb67e6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $406.94
Realized PnL: $2.01
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Diogo Costa win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.3
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $165.58
Potential profit: $163.51
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $80.94
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $33.06
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$2.28

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $22.66
Potential payout: $104.44
Potential profit: $81.78
Multiplier: 4.61x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$31.16

Yes position

Betmoar FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $52.26
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $56.84
Potential profit: $54.32
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $42.81
Potential payout: $54.53
Potential profit: $11.72
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $43.05
Potential payout: $50.65
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.05

No position

Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $40.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9.26
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $32.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $7.4
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $33.48
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $2.52
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $28.36
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $27.96
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $20.99
Potential payout: $27.08
Potential profit: $6.09
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $26.19
Potential profit: $20.3
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $18.17
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $10.44
Potential payout: $12.14
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 27.2%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.29
Multiplier: 3.68x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $3.48

Yes position

Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.8%
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 4.8% 49 shares
Will Diogo Costa win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes 9.8% 31.25 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

No 76% 13 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

No 77% 41.53 shares
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 73% 30 shares
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 4.3% 56.84 shares
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 90.1% 30 shares
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 27% 10 shares
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?

No 22% 10 shares
Betmoar FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 7% 57.14 shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

No 77% 50.65 shares