surftrader

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $32.21
Potential payout: $32.34
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.2
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.93
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.3
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $17.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.88
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.97
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.98
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.38
Potential payout: $12.39
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $7.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $5.37
Potential profit: $4.11
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.77

No position

Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-30?

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo win on 2026-05-22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.89

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

No position

Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

No position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.89

No position

Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-05-31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.51

No position

Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.11

No position

Will Angola win on 2026-06-05?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $12.21

No position

Morocco leading at halftime?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

No position

Will Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.83

No position

Will Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

No position

Mexico vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.51

No position

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

No position

Portugal leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.32

No position

Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

No position

Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $10.06

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.06

No position

Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.92

No position

Vanraure Hachinohe FC leading at halftime?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.87

No position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.79

No position

Will CR Brasil vs. São Bernardo FC end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

No position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

No position

Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

No position

Senegal to score first vs. France?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.07

No position

Will Chicago Stars FC vs. San Diego Wave FC end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

No position

Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.76

No position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.59

No position

Will Niger vs. Mauritania end in a draw?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.59

No position

Will Tochigi SC win on 2026-06-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58

No position

Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.32

No position

Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Fukushima United FC end in a draw?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

No position

Will O'Higgins FC vs. Everton de Viña del Mar end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 7?