Polymarket Trader

NoobCapt

0xee30e5174dae1fd602ff1f06cc398bf67a1f9297

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.42K
Realized PnL: $27.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $5.38K
User PnL: -$3.22K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $5.16K
User PnL: -$2.94K

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $4.9K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $97.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $152.5

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $980
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $20
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $301.91
Potential payout: $628.98
Potential profit: $327.07
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $54.03

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $557.56
Potential profit: $557.56
User PnL: -$415.74

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$145

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $233.04
Potential payout: $249.24
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $40.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.47

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.95

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.73

Yes position

Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.69

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.19

Yes position

Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.66

Yes position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.8

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.94

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.75

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.02

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.5

Yes position

Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.76

Yes position

Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.84

No position

Will NCAA March Madness Live be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.79

No position

Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.62

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.74

Yes position

Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.45

Yes position

Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.87

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 1,492.54 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 69% 906.67 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 68.8% 26.54 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 33.7% 527.55 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 31.6% 357.32 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 66% 671.05 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 66% 800 shares
Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

No 99.9% 301.18 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

No 99.8% 45 shares
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

No 99.7% 203.52 shares
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

No 99% 0.19 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

No 99% 140.34 shares