Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Polymarket Trader
gordonygb
0xee3e27123abf2ccb4d746bf15a926887fdd69c86
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.75
- Realized PnL
- $19.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $4.98
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.16
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.82
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- User PnL
- -$3.29
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $3.65
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $3.41
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $1.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on March 12?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Trump say "Syria" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will monthly inflation be between 2.0% and 2.2% in January?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 53% 2.22 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 63.4% 3.75 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?Yes 89% 6.21 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 99.9% 0.86 shares
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?No 97% 3.38 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No 89.3% 5.04 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 83.8% 7.4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?Down 91% 4.8 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.6% 6.19 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes 83% 5.18 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.2% 3.65 shares
- Will Solana dip to $75 on April 6?No 98.4% 2.73 shares