Polymarket Trader

0xeE4946F3Ad0AABfc801EF95f39C8DF16813ce69B-1779110167847

0xee4946f3ad0aabfc801ef95f39c8df16813ce69b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $132.02
Realized PnL: $415.97
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $256.41
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.67
Potential profit: $85.67
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$20

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $41.25
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $16.44
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $33.64
Potential payout: $36.76
Potential profit: $3.13
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $8.64

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $24.44
Potential payout: $30.17
Potential profit: $5.73
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $4.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $23.59
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $5.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $8.58
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.72
Potential profit: $11.72
User PnL: -$5

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $4.01
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.39
Potential profit: $5.39
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.18

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.61

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$4.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$58.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Down 34.6% 289.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Down 24% 208.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 39% 256.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Up 23% 217.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Down 45% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 1% 101.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 59% 101.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Up 89.4% 102.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Up 49% 102.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Up 88% 166.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Up 18% 166.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Up 1% 2,000 shares