Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $7.74
- Potential payout
- $573.17
- Potential profit
- $565.43
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$26.15
Polymarket Trader
Clarence333
0xee4fa6f3516ff02a9bc44d8c86a767283197b168
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $483.31
- Realized PnL
- $171.73
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $44.27
- Potential payout
- $354.2
- Potential profit
- $309.92
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$55.73
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $309.47
- Potential profit
- $305.61
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.37
- Potential profit
- $258.37
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $243.21
- Potential profit
- $242.97
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $10.71
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $132.14
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $5.54
- Potential payout
- $138.52
- Potential profit
- $132.98
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $98.95
- Potential payout
- $122.92
- Potential profit
- $23.97
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $16.41
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $113.86
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.86
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $23.9
- Potential payout
- $116.32
- Potential profit
- $92.42
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $15.66
- Potential payout
- $116
- Potential profit
- $100.34
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $106.11
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $108.29
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$7.18
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $21.9
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $85.24
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $50.48
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $45.67
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $14.09
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $76.82
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $12.27
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $78.64
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $80.45
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $86.77
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$5.86
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $16.2
- Potential payout
- $85.47
- Potential profit
- $69.27
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Current value
- $21.21
- Potential payout
- $62.11
- Potential profit
- $40.9
- Multiplier
- 2.93x
- User PnL
- $11.21
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.46
Xinxin Yao position
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 56% 17.86 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 84% 23.81 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 85% 23.53 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes 52% 96.15 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.2% 39.68 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 80% 14.28 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 20.1% 49.75 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 74% 13.51 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 70.8% 14.12 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 43% 23.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Yes 31% 32.22 shares