Polymarket Trader

keasiyo

0xee67f4f549180f564dd5910b1024b8c6729cef38

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.33K
Realized PnL: $1.25M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $25.33K
Potential payout: $249.53K
Potential profit: $224.21K
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $7.07K

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.5K
Potential profit: $246.5K
User PnL: -$34.82K

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $150K
User PnL: -$1.95K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $101.64K
Potential profit: $95.9K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$104.69

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $750
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.25K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $50

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$19K

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $25.3K
Potential payout: $93.7K
Potential profit: $68.4K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$11.27K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $663.37
Potential payout: $88.45K
Potential profit: $87.79K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $132.67

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$8.8K

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $37.49K
Potential profit: $35.37K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$506.16

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.1K
Potential profit: $34.1K
User PnL: -$6.14K

Yes position

Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $11.57K
Potential payout: $30.86K
Potential profit: $19.29K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.91K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$5.1K

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $10.95K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $19.05K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.26K
Potential profit: $24.26K
User PnL: -$1.33K

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $23.68K
Potential profit: $19.78K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$118.42

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$1.36K

Over position

FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$7.2K

Yes position

Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$6K

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$7.6K

Yes position

Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$1.4K

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$2.4K

Over position

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$10.6K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.07K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.19K

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.37K

Yes position

Will Chelsea beat PSG?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77K

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.42K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.14K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66K

Club Atlético de Madrid position

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.71K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.62K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.3K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.29K

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.1K

Club Atlético de Madrid position

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.27K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.43K

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.45K

FC Bayern München position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.52K

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5K

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.05K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.76K

Yes position

Will AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.84K

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.98K

Yes position

Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.04K

Yes position

Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-26?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.9K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5

Over 15% 11,944.71 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

No 36% 30,000 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 33.6% 10,000 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score

Yes 55% 2,618 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score

Yes 53% 1,141.87 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Over 36% 6,383.22 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Over 36% 7,572.59 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5

Over 9% 3,217.54 shares
Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Germany 54% 50,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 11,972.03 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 543,582.97 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 17% 10,000 shares