No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.06K
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $268.09
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $81.59
Polymarket Trader
0xb5873490f1a41ceadd584f00b8674c75a62a2d
0xee67fa473868893bbe35a5f628298ba75168fd6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.6K
- Realized PnL
- $11.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $643.48
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$228.38
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $50.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $35.37
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $34.92
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $90.87
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $725.61
- Potential payout
- $735.91
- Potential profit
- $10.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $611.68
- Potential payout
- $649
- Potential profit
- $37.32
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $285.88
- Potential payout
- $544.53
- Potential profit
- $258.65
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$63.67
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $195.46
- Potential payout
- $200.57
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.93
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$3.68
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.3%
- Current value
- $91.88
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $58.13
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
No position
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$105.85
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $57.5
- Potential profit
- $56.44
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900.95
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $900.48
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $511.89
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $419.84
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $349.01
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.38
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $322.79
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.87
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.86
No position
Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.52
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.35
No position
Swell airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.78
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.39
No position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.62
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.22
Yes position
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.24
No position
Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.76
No position
Iran strike on Israel before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.24
No position
Kamala wins 276-262 - PA, NV, MI, WI
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.38
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.79
No position
Will Circle IPO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.7
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 93.4% 289 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 63.4% 150 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 72% 875.69 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 86% 2,424.83 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 79% 15.71 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 81% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 56.6% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 35% 375.69 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 52% 110.95 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 48% 83.88 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 48% 2,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 30% 84.94 shares