Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
argolof
0xee7715e4f328367c60a898e9bb04f0a060830079
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.61
- Realized PnL
- $1.82
- Win rate
- 78.9%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.49
- Potential payout
- $8.27
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Anthropic acquired in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Tether insolvent in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 50% 14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 6.1 shares
- U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?No 88% 1.12 shares
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No 82% 1.23 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 63% 1.58 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 50% 9.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No 96.4% 2.07 shares
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No 81% 1.23 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 95% 1.05 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 63% 1.59 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares