Polymarket Trader

Thunderpando

0xee91fe99a27056432eb6a7960b900a58f8ce7eb9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $112.37
Realized PnL: $265.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $20.59
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $97.06
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $11.6
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $68.4
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $47.53
Potential profit: $43.97
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$16.43

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.18
Potential profit: $43.18
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $36.35
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $24.1
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $8.69
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $29.53
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $29.74
Potential profit: $28.61
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$6.87

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $23.99
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $23.76
Potential profit: $17.58
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $15.34
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $5.78
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $11.47
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $8.17
Potential payout: $13.28
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $12.64
Potential profit: $8.53
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$2.89

No position

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $7.91
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $7.92
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $8.82
Potential profit: $6.88
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $7.8
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.69
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.21
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$2.07

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $5.77
Potential profit: $4.64
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.63
Potential profit: $5.63
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.65

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.78

Yes position

Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET

Up 68% 1.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET

Up 68% 1.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET

Up 68% 1.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Up 60% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Up 53% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up 93% 9.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up 60% 8.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up 60% 1.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Up 43% 2.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Down 60% 5.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Down 36% 2.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Down 36% 2.78 shares