notfinishedreadingthebookyet

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $39.17
Potential profit: $38.6
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $35.24
Potential profit: $35.08
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Phil Foden win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35.23
Potential profit: $35.21
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $34.78
Potential profit: $34.55
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $33.79
Potential profit: $33.72
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $30.67
Potential profit: $30.53
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $29.94
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Estevao win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.07
Potential profit: $26.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $24.16
Potential profit: $24.15
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $21.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $21.81
Potential profit: $21.74
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $21.81
Potential profit: $20.95
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $21.81
Potential profit: $21.21
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $21.81
Potential profit: $21.73
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $21.79
Potential profit: $21.75
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $21.78
Potential profit: $21.65
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $21.31
Potential profit: $21.17
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $20.75
Potential profit: $20.44
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.9
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $18.31
Potential profit: $18.27
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $16.91
Potential profit: $16.85
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $16.79
Potential profit: $16.76
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.92

Yes position

Will Uruguay finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Multiplier: 9.17x
User PnL: $4.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.1%
Multiplier: 6.62x
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 16.4%
Multiplier: 6.12x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 27?