No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $66.35
- Potential payout
- $145.83
- Potential profit
- $79.48
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$33.65
Polymarket Trader
crlj0505
0xeea5202392cdeaa1313baf446f95ec5b9acd84ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.35
- Realized PnL
- $141.73
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.21
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 8?
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.78
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.72
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$73.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 60% 83.33 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 92% 62.5 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 96% 63.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 40% 125 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 80% 62.5 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 79.1% 63.25 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 80% 62.5 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 7% 375.7 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?Down 99.9% 17.24 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?Down 87% 17.24 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 26.6% 375.7 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No 56% 208.54 shares