Polymarket Trader

Andromaque399

0xeea75cd940a8abc193b04ca78be589af3d41d491

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $301.96
Realized PnL: $453.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $155.92
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $10.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.73
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$8.13

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $29.23
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $5.77
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $19.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $5.88
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $16.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.3
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $13.73
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $13.43
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.08

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $11.63
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $14.62
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.65
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.08
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $9.28
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.39

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.22

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.03

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

No position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.22

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.43

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.13

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.85

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Yes position

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $7.91

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Hawks

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

No position

French election called by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.8% 10 shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 57% 5 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.2% 30 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.7% 100 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 99.9% 22.5 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 10 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 83% 5 shares
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

No 98.3% 5 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 65.9% 5 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.9% 5 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 10 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 84% 25 shares