Polymarket Trader

chismhall

@HernandesM26163

0xeeb390413997c33e62d8795e0b4a387f696551c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.24K
Realized PnL: $2.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$138

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $117.5
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $382.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$107.5

Over position

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $459.77
Potential payout: $460
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $151.57

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $186
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $214
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$54

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$72

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$217

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $286.65
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $13.35
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $37.65

No position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$111

San Francisco Giants position

Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.97
Potential profit: $299.97
User PnL: -$86.99

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$212.5

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $99
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $101
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$11

Trail Blazers position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.86
Potential profit: $107.86
User PnL: -$37.75

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $92
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $76
User PnL: -$57.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$50.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.9

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $314.59

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.65

Under position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.57

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $73.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.08

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.25

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.08

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.72

No position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.88

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.35

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.2

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.41

No position

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.3

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.75

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.05

No position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.83

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 67% 460 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5

Under 56% 540 shares
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Scotland 53% 120.2 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 98.7% 500 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 67.6% 65.53 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Yes 10.8% 299.98 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 55% 27.36 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 67% 600 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 37% 300 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5

Under 69% 419.99 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

No 18% 400 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Over 56% 300 shares