Polymarket Trader

Niqidron

0xeee7f0c7858e43e998a2051e797d90fa5a9ceba5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.29
Realized PnL: $5.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $44.9
Potential profit: $36.79
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.58
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.03
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 4.29x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.86
Potential profit: $3.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jac Caglianone advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $3.72
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Junior Caminero advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.34
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Team Yandex to win 2-0?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

SHEIN IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 2.28x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.26
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

No 85% 1.18 shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

No 85% 1.18 shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

No 87% 1.15 shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

No 82% 1.22 shares
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

No 25% 4 shares
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

No 78% 1.28 shares
Team Yandex to win 2-0?

No 46% 2.17 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 79.2% 1.26 shares
Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?

No 6% 16.67 shares
Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?

No 87% 1.15 shares
Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?

No 20% 5 shares
Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?

No 89% 1.12 shares